Latest UK mortgage-rate update: October 2026
- Bank Rate: 3.75%. The Monetary Policy Committee held it on 17 September 2026 by a 6–3 vote; three members voted to raise it to 4% (Bank of England).
- Moneyfacts market averages, 5 October 2026 — two-year fixed: 5.98%, its highest since mid-December 2023 (Moneyfacts).
- Moneyfacts market averages, 5 October 2026 — five-year fixed: 6.00%, the first time in around three years (Moneyfacts).
- Next scheduled Bank Rate decision: 5 November 2026 (Bank of England).
- UK CPI inflation: 3.1% in the 12 months to August 2026 (ONS).
What has changed: Bank Rate has not moved since December 2025, but fixed mortgage rates have risen sharply. Renewed conflict in the Middle East pushed up energy prices and inflation fears, swap rates became volatile and UK gilt yields rose. Several large lenders raised fixed rates more than once in September, and Moneyfacts reports that the number of fixed deals priced below 5% fell from 1,494 at the start of September to nine by 5 October.
Mortgage-rate figures are broad market averages across different products and loan-to-value bands, on the dates shown. They are not The Mortgage Genie's quotations or rates available to every borrower. This page is reviewed periodically and is not live data.
Why have fixed mortgage rates changed in 2026?
Fixed rates can rise while Bank Rate stays the same. Bank Rate mainly affects tracker and variable mortgages straight away. A fixed rate is priced on what lenders expect interest rates to be over the whole fixed period, and on what it costs them to fund and protect that lending.
The main influences are:
- Market expectations: if markets think Bank Rate will stay higher for longer, or might rise, longer-term borrowing costs go up.
- Swap rates: the wholesale rates lenders use to fix their funding costs. When they rise, fixed mortgages usually follow.
- Funding costs: what lenders pay savers and wholesale markets for the money they lend.
- Competition: how keen each lender is to win new business at a given time.
2026 so far — not a continuous rise:
- Early 2026: Bank Rate was held at 3.75% in February and average fixed rates were below 5% (4.84% two-year and 4.96% five-year on 6 March, Moneyfacts). Earlier developments: Bank Rate held at 3.75% (February 2026).
- March 2026: the Iran conflict pushed swap rates up and lenders repriced fixed rates upwards. Earlier developments: mortgage rates rising (March 2026).
- April to May 2026: a period of easing, as average rates fell for the first time since the conflict began and several large lenders cut fixed rates. Earlier developments: average rates fall (April 2026) and lenders cut fixed rates (May 2026).
- September to October 2026: renewed conflict, higher energy prices and a global bond sell-off pushed swap rates and gilt yields higher, and average fixed rates reached around 6%.
New deals versus existing deals: these changes affect the price of new mortgages. If you are already on a fixed rate, your rate and payment stay the same until the fixed period ends. The change matters when you need a new deal.
We don't predict Bank Rate decisions or future mortgage rates. Rates can move in either direction.
What does this mean if your mortgage deal is ending?
If your fixed rate ends in the next few months, these are the things worth checking before you choose a new deal:
- When your current deal ends: many lenders let you secure a new deal several months before your current one finishes.
- Your balance, property value and loan-to-value (LTV): a lower LTV can open up a wider choice of products.
- Early repayment charges: switching before your deal ends could mean paying one.
- Product fees and other costs: a low rate with a high fee can cost more overall than a slightly higher rate with no fee. Legal and valuation costs can matter too.
- Product transfer or remortgage: compare a new deal with your current lender against moving to another lender.
- Total cost over the deal period: look at what you'll pay in total over the time you plan to keep the deal, and whether the deal suits your plans.
Buying a home? The same rate changes affect what you can borrow and your monthly payment. See our first-time buyer and moving home guides, or our remortgage page.
UK mortgage rates have fluctuated dramatically over the past 50 years, driven by Bank of England base rate decisions, inflation, and global economic events. Understanding rate history helps borrowers make informed decisions about when to fix and for how long.
Why Mortgage Rate History Matters
Understanding how mortgage rates have moved over the decades helps you put today's rates in context. Average fixed rates close to 6% can feel high compared with 2021, but they are well below the rates of the late 1970s and 1980s — when homeowners often faced 10–15%.
Whether you're a first-time buyer deciding when to commit or considering a remortgage, knowing the historical trend can help you make better decisions.
The 1970s and 1980s: Sky-High Rates
The 1970s and 1980s were defined by extreme inflation and interest rates that would be unthinkable today:
- November 1979: The Bank of England base rate hit 17% — the highest in UK history — as the government battled inflation above 20%.
- 1980–1982: Bank Rate stayed in double figures for most of this period, falling from 17% to 9.13% by 2 November 1982 before rising to 10% later that month — still making homeownership expensive.
- 6 October 1989: Bank Rate was raised to 14.88% as inflation surged again, and borrowers' mortgage rates rose to similarly high levels.
Many homeowners in this era saw their monthly payments double or triple with little warning. Variable rate mortgages were the norm — fixed-rate products as we know them today barely existed.
The 1990s: The Housing Crash and Recovery
The early 1990s brought a severe housing crash and negative equity for millions:
- 1990: Bank Rate stayed at 14.88% for most of the year before a cut to 13.88% on 8 October 1990. House prices fell 20% in real terms over the following 5 years.
- Black Wednesday (1992): The UK left the Exchange Rate Mechanism. On Black Wednesday (16 September 1992) emergency interest-rate rises were announced and then reversed within days. In the Bank of England's Bank Rate series, the rate moved from 9.88% to 8.88% on 22 September 1992.
- 1993–1999: Bank Rate fell to 5.13% on 8 February 1994, then moved between 5.00% and 7.50% for the rest of the decade (peaking at 7.50% on 4 June 1998), ending 1999 at 5.50% after the 4 November 1999 rise. The housing market slowly recovered.
The 1990s taught the UK market that property prices can fall — a lesson that feels distant during boom periods but remains vitally important.
The 2000s: Boom, Bust, and the Financial Crisis
The early 2000s saw a sustained property boom fuelled by easy credit:
- 2000–2003: Base rate fell from 6% to 3.5%. House prices doubled in many areas.
- 2004–2007: Rates rose to 5.75%. Self-cert and 125% LTV mortgages were commonplace.
- 2008 — The Financial Crisis: Northern Rock had already collapsed in 2007. The base rate was slashed from 5% to 0.5% in about five months, between October 2008 and March 2009.
- March 2009: Base rate reached 0.5% — unprecedented at the time. It would stay there for over 7 years.
The financial crisis transformed mortgage lending. Self-cert mortgages were banned, 100% LTV deals largely vanished.
Post-crisis reforms substantially tightened mortgage affordability assessments. The former Financial Policy Committee stress-test recommendation was withdrawn in 2022, but FCA responsible-lending rules still require lenders to assess affordability and, where applicable, consider likely future interest-rate increases.
The 2010s: Record Low Rates
A decade of historically low rates reshaped expectations:
- 2010–2016: Base rate stayed at 0.5%. Average fixed mortgage rates generally drifted lower over the period as lenders competed for business, although rates and access to credit varied by deposit size.
- August 2016: Following the Brexit vote, the base rate was cut to 0.25% — the lowest in the Bank of England's 300+ year history.
- 2017–2019: Two modest rises brought the rate to 0.75%. Fixed-rate mortgages were available below 1.5%.
This era normalised the expectation that rates would stay low forever — an assumption that would be shattered in 2022.
2020–2022: The Pandemic and the Rate Shock
The pandemic era produced the lowest rates in UK history, followed by the sharpest rises in a generation:
- March 2020: Base rate cut to 0.1% in two emergency moves. Sub-1% fixed-rate mortgages became available.
- 2021: Competition intensified during 2021 and some individual mortgage products fell below 1%. These were headline products available to eligible borrowers, rather than market-wide average rates. At the start of December 2021, Moneyfacts recorded average rates of 2.34% for two-year fixes and 2.64% for five-year fixes.
- September 2022 — The Mini-Budget: Kwasi Kwarteng's unfunded tax cuts crashed the gilt market. Hundreds of mortgage products were withdrawn overnight. Average 2-year fixes spiked above 6%.
- December 2022: Base rate hit 3.5% — up from 0.1% in just 12 months.
The September 2022 mini-budget remains the most dramatic mortgage market event in modern UK history, with lenders pulling products faster than at any point since the 2008 crisis.
2023 to 2026: Stabilisation and the Iran Conflict
After the chaos of 2022, rates gradually stabilised — but new geopolitical shocks emerged:
- August 2023: Base rate peaked at 5.25%, the highest since 2008. At the start of August 2023, Moneyfacts recorded an average two-year fixed rate of 6.85% — higher than the averages seen after the 2022 mini-budget.
- 2024: Inflation continued to fall from its October 2022 peak, allowing the Bank of England to begin reducing Bank Rate in August 2024. It cut twice — to 5% in August and 4.75% in November.
- 2025: Four further cuts — in February (4.5%), May (4.25%), August (4%) and December (3.75%) — brought the base rate to 3.75%, and average fixed rates eased over the year.
- March 2026: The Iran conflict caused swap rates to spike — 1-year swaps hit 3.96%, 3-year swaps 4.03%, and 5-year swaps 4.13%. HSBC, Nationwide, and Coventry Building Society immediately repriced their fixed-rate products upward.
Historical snapshot: according to Moneyfacts Treasury Reports data, at the start of March 2026 (6 March) the average 2-year fixed rate across all LTVs was 4.84% and the average 5-year fixed rate was 4.96%. These are historical March 2026 averages, not today's mortgage pricing.
By 5 October 2026, Bank Rate had been held at 3.75% since December 2025, while average fixed rates had risen to 5.98% (two-year) and 6.00% (five-year), according to Moneyfacts. See the latest update above.
How Swap Rates Influence Fixed Mortgage Pricing
Fixed mortgage rates are influenced by the cost of funding and hedging fixed-rate lending in wholesale markets.
The five-year sterling interest-rate swap is particularly relevant to five-year fixed mortgages. When the five-year swap rate rises, it will usually create upward pressure on the price of new five-year fixed mortgages. When it falls, lenders may have more scope to reduce their fixed rates.
The relationship is not one-for-one or immediate. Lenders also consider their own funding costs, deposit funding, capital requirements, credit risk, operating costs, product fees, profit margins, lending targets and market competition. Mortgage rates may therefore move later than swap rates, move by a different amount or occasionally remain unchanged.
| Date | Five-year GBP IRS rate | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2 January 2026 | 3.942% | Opening 2026 snapshot |
| 31 March 2026 | 4.397% | End of Q1 snapshot |
| 30 June 2026 | 4.302% | End of Q2 snapshot |
| 28 September 2026 | 4.997% | Single-day snapshot taken at our 29 September 2026 review |
Source: Investing.com historical data for GBP 5 Years IRS Interest Rate Swap, instrument GBPSB6L5Y=. The source describes its data as delayed and indicative. These are selected daily snapshots, not quarterly averages, mortgage quotations or predictions of future rates. View delayed five-year GBP swap-rate data on Investing.com
Between 2 January and 28 September 2026, this five-year swap-rate measure increased by 1.055 percentage points, or 105.5 basis points.
Over the same broad period, average five-year fixed mortgage rates also increased, from 4.96% on 6 March 2026 to 5.94% on 25 September 2026 according to Moneyfacts. This demonstrates the broad directional relationship between wholesale swap markets and fixed mortgage pricing, but it does not mean lenders pass through every swap-rate movement directly or immediately.
Bank of England Base Rate: Key Milestones
| Date | Base Rate | Context |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1979 | 17.00% | All-time high — inflation above 20% |
| 6 Oct 1989 | 14.88% | Late-80s inflation surge |
| 22 Sep 1992 | 8.88% | Cut after Black Wednesday |
| Mar 2009 | 0.50% | Financial crisis response |
| Aug 2016 | 0.25% | Post-Brexit vote cut |
| Mar 2020 | 0.10% | All-time low — pandemic response |
| Aug 2023 | 5.25% | Post-pandemic inflation peak |
| Dec 2025 | 3.75% | Fourth cut of 2025 |
| Sep 2026 | 3.75% | Held by the MPC; unchanged since December 2025 |
Source: Bank of England official Bank Rate history. Figures are the policy rate in force after the change shown, not period averages.
Selected UK Fixed-Rate Mortgage Snapshots
| Date | 2-Year Fixed | 5-Year Fixed | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| July 2020 | 1.99% | 2.25% | Moneyfacts |
| Start of December 2021 | 2.34% | 2.64% | Moneyfacts |
| 6 March 2026 | 4.84% | 4.96% | Moneyfacts Treasury Reports |
| 25 September 2026 | 5.92% | 5.94% | Moneyfacts |
| 5 October 2026 | 5.98% | 6.00% | Moneyfacts |
These are selected, date-specific broad market averages. They are not annual averages, individual product quotations or rates available to every borrower.
What Actually Drives Mortgage Rates?
Four key factors influence the mortgage rates lenders offer:
- Bank of England Base Rate: Directly affects tracker and variable rate mortgages. The Monetary Policy Committee normally makes eight scheduled Bank Rate decisions each year.
- Swap Rates: Fixed mortgage rates are strongly influenced by swap rates, market expectations and lenders' funding costs. They do not move mechanically with Bank Rate. When swap rates rise (as they did in March 2026 during the Iran conflict), fixed-rate mortgages usually come under upward pressure — even if Bank Rate hasn't changed.
- Inflation (CPI): The Bank of England targets 2% inflation. MPC decisions depend on the inflation outlook, how persistent inflation is likely to be, wage growth and wider economic conditions — not simply on whether the latest figure is above or below target.
- Lender Competition & Targets: Lenders plan how much they want to lend over a period. A lender that wants more business — for example, because it is behind its lending plans or has funding to put to work — may price more competitively, with lower rates or fees. A lender that already has plenty of applications may raise rates to slow demand.
Lessons From 50 Years of UK Mortgage Rates
- Rates always cycle. They go up, they come down, and they go up again. No rate environment lasts forever.
- Locking in matters. Homeowners who fixed at 2–3% before the 2022 rate shock saved thousands. Those on variable rates saw payments jump overnight.
- Today's rates need context. Average fixed rates of around 6% in October 2026 feel high compared with 2021, but remain well below the peaks of the late 1970s and 1980s.
- Geopolitical events cause spikes. The 2022 mini-budget, the 2008 financial crisis, and the 2026 Iran conflict all caused sudden rate movements that caught borrowers off guard.
- Advice can help you compare. Mortgage advice can help borrowers compare overall cost, product fees and suitability, but it does not guarantee savings. A free initial advice mortgage broker can help you understand the options in different rate environments.
Get Free Initial Mortgage Advice Today
Whether rates are rising or falling, expert advice can help you identify a suitable option for your circumstances. Your initial mortgage consultation is free — we compare deals across our lender panel to help you find a suitable mortgage.
Frequently Asked Questions
- What is the highest UK mortgage rate in history?
- The Bank of England base rate peaked at 17% in November 1979. Bank Rate was raised to 14.88% on 6 October 1989. In recent years, average two-year fixes rose above 6% after the September 2022 mini-budget and were higher still in summer 2023, when Moneyfacts recorded 6.85% at the start of August 2023.
- What is the lowest UK mortgage rate in history?
- The base rate hit an all-time low of 0.1% in March 2020. Some lenders offered sub-1% fixed-rate mortgage deals in 2021, the cheapest mortgages in UK history.
- What was the Bank of England base rate in March 2026?
- When this article was first published in March 2026, the Bank of England base rate was 3.75%, following a series of cuts from the 5.25% peak in August 2023. It was still 3.75% after the MPC held it on 17 September 2026. Check the Bank of England website for the latest figure.
- Why did mortgage rates spike in 2022?
- The September 2022 mini-budget under Kwasi Kwarteng announced £45 billion in unfunded tax cuts, crashing the gilt market. Swap rates soared and hundreds of mortgage products were withdrawn overnight.
- What happened to mortgage rates in early 2026?
- Rates trended downward through 2024-2025, but the March 2026 Iran conflict caused swap rates to spike sharply and several major lenders, including HSBC, Nationwide and Coventry Building Society, announced rate increases at the time. Rates eased in April and May 2026, then rose again from September. This article does not forecast future rate movements.
- Why can fixed mortgage rates rise when Bank Rate stays unchanged?
- Fixed rates are priced on what lenders expect rates to be over the fixed period and on their funding costs, which follow swap rates and wholesale markets. If those rise — as they did in September 2026 — fixed rates can go up even while Bank Rate is held.
- What are average UK mortgage rates in October 2026?
- Moneyfacts recorded an average two-year fixed rate of 5.98% and an average five-year fixed rate of 6.00% on 5 October 2026. These are broad market averages across products and loan-to-value bands.
- When is the next Bank of England decision?
- The next scheduled Bank Rate decision is on 5 November 2026, according to the Bank of England. Bank Rate was 3.75% at our 11 October 2026 review.
- Are average mortgage rates the rates I can get?
- Not necessarily. Averages cover many products and loan-to-value bands. The rate you're offered depends on your deposit or equity, income, credit history, property and the lender's criteria, and fees also affect the overall cost.
- What should I compare when my fixed deal ends?
- Compare a product transfer with your current lender against remortgaging elsewhere. Look at the rate, product fees, any early repayment charge, your loan-to-value and the total cost over the time you plan to keep the deal.
Sources & References
- Interest rate statistics — Bank of England
- Interest rates and Bank Rate: our latest decision — Bank of England
- Upcoming MPC dates — Bank of England
- Bank Rate history and data — Bank of England
- Monetary Policy Summary, September 2026 — Bank of England
- Yield curves — Bank of England
- Our history (Black Wednesday) — Bank of England
- UK inflation data — ONS
- FPC's mortgage market recommendation — Financial Conduct Authority
- Average five-year fixed mortgage rate hits 6% (Moneyfacts market averages, 5 October 2026) — Moneyfacts
- Fixed-rate mortgage averages — Moneyfacts
- GBP 5 Years IRS Interest Rate Swap historical data (delayed, indicative) — Investing.com
